Stevenage vs Lincoln City Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 44 Lamex Stadium· Stevenage Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Stevenage PPG 2.10

2-2 MISS

Lincoln City PPG 1.90

Away· -0.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stevenage face Lincoln City in England - League One on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stevenage a 32% chance, the draw 30% and Lincoln City 38%, so Lincoln City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Stevenage and 1.1 for Lincoln City (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stevenage are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.90 for Lincoln City. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.7%

Odds: 2.82 EV: -10.6%

Draw 30.4%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -8.8%

Away 37.9%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -0.7%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.5% Odds: 2.40 -19.6%

Over 3.5 15.1% Odds: 4.75 -28.3%

BTTS 40.8% Odds: 1.95 -20.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Stevenage

0.96

Lincoln City

1.08

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.10), Away GOOD (1.90)