← Back to picks 
France - Ligue 1 Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00 
Nice PPG 1.19 
Metz PPG 0.38
France - Ligue 1 Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00 Nice PPG 1.190-0 MISS
Metz PPG 0.38Away· +50.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.55 -4.8%
Over 3.5 39.8% Odds: 2.35 -6.5%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.80 +7.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice 1.99
Metz 1.22
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -4.8% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+50.8%)
Raw EV leader: Away(+50.8%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.19) vs P(Home)=51.7%