Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips

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France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 34 Stade de la Beaujoire· Nantes Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00

Nantes PPG 0.75

VS PENDING

Toulouse PPG 1.25

Away· +11.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.6%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -16.2%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -1.6%

Away 43.6%

Odds: 2.55 EV: +11.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.1% Odds: 1.80 -11.6%

Over 3.5 25.7% Odds: 3.00 -13.7%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 0-1

4th 1-2

5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Nantes

1.08

Toulouse

1.48

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+11.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.75) vs Away AVERAGE (1.25)