← Back to picks 
France - Ligue 1 Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00 
Lyon PPG 2.31 
Lens PPG 1.56
France - Ligue 1 Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00 Lyon PPG 2.310-4 MISS
Lens PPG 1.56Away· +13.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%
Over 3.5 29.8% Odds: 2.45 -16.2%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.55 -15.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon 1.47
Lens 1.28
Model Suggestion
BTTS -15.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+13.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+13.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -18.0%
Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.31) > Away GOOD (1.56)