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France - Ligue 1
Regular Season - 34
Stade du Moustoir· Lorient
Sunday, May 17, 2026
19:00
Lorient
PPG 1.88
0-2
MISS
Le Havre
PPG 0.56
Home· +31.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.9%
Odds: 2.58
EV: +31.3%
Draw
25.1%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -9.6%
Away
24.0%
Odds: 2.58
EV: -22.9%
Model lean:
BTTS
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
50.2%
Odds: 1.85
-7.1%
Over 3.5
25.9%
Odds: 3.25
-9.5%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.67
-13.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient
1.66
Le Havre
0.92
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-13.8%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=50.9%