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France - Ligue 1 logo France flag France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 34 Stade du Moustoir· Lorient Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00
Lorient logo Lorient PPG 1.88
0-2 MISS
Le Havre logo Le Havre PPG 0.56
Home· +31.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.9%
Odds: 2.58 EV: +31.3%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -9.6%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 2.58 EV: -22.9%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.2% Odds: 1.85 -7.1%
Over 3.5 25.9% Odds: 3.25 -9.5%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.67 -13.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lorient
1.66
Le Havre
0.92

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=50.9%

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