France - Ligue 1Regular Season - 34Stade Pierre-Mauroy· LilleSunday, May 17, 202619:00
LillePPG 1.81
0-2MISS
AuxerrePPG 0.56
Away· +34.2%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home52.4%
Odds: 1.40EV: -26.6%
Draw25.8%
Odds: 4.60EV: +11.2%
Away21.8%
Odds: 7.20EV: +34.2%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.547.6%Odds: 1.67-20.5%
Over 3.522.5%Odds: 2.70-23.5%
BTTS49.2%Odds: 1.85-9.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✘
2nd1-1✘
3rd2-0✘
4th0-0✘
5th2-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lille
1.65
Auxerre
0.77
Model Suggestion
Home-26.6%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -26.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+34.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=52.4%