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England - Premier League Sunday, May 17, 2026 16:30 
Newcastle Utd PPG 1.61 
West Ham Utd PPG 0.94
England - Premier League Sunday, May 17, 2026 16:30 Newcastle Utd PPG 1.613-1 MISS
West Ham Utd PPG 0.94Home· +11.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.53 -9.6%
Over 3.5 35.5% Odds: 2.35 -16.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.48 -11.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle Utd 1.86
West Ham Utd 1.15
Model Suggestion
BTTS -11.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-11.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 57 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -9.4%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 75%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.61) > Away POOR (0.94)