Everton vs Sunderland Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 37 Hill Dickinson Stadium· Liverpool Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00

Everton PPG 1.28

1-3 MISS

Sunderland PPG 1.00

Draw· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.0%

Odds: 1.81 EV: -13.1%

Draw 27.4%

Odds: 3.70 EV: +0.8%

Away 24.6%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +0.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.83 -15.4%

Over 3.5 19.8% Odds: 3.00 -24.4%

BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.73 -10.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Everton

1.35

Sunderland

0.94

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.28), Away AVERAGE (1.00)