Brentford vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 37 Brentford Community Stadium· London Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00

Brentford PPG 1.72

2-2 MISS

Crystal Palace PPG 1.28

Away· +10.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.5%

Odds: 1.64 EV: -18.8%

Draw 26.2%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +2.1%

Away 24.3%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +10.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.65 -21.5%

Over 3.5 24.7% Odds: 2.60 -21.5%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.65 -14.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Brentford

1.52

Crystal Palace

1.00

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.72) > Away AVERAGE (1.28)