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England - Premier League Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00 
Newcastle Utd PPG 1.63 
Bournemouth PPG 1.19
England - Premier League Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00 Newcastle Utd PPG 1.631-2 HIT CS5
Bournemouth PPG 1.19Home· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 68.9% Odds: 1.48 +2.0%
Over 3.5 47.5% Odds: 2.15 +2.1%
BTTS 67.3% Odds: 1.42 -4.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 1-2 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle Utd 2.10
Bournemouth 1.46
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +2.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+3.2%)
Raw EV leader: Home(+3.2%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 57 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -9.4%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)