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Konigsdorf vs Fortuna Koln B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 27 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:30

Konigsdorf

PPG 1.77 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Fortuna Koln B

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.2%0-24.2%0-32.8%0-4+2.2%1 1-04.0%1-17.9%1-27.8%1-35.2%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.7%2-17.3%2-27.3%2-34.8%2-4+3.8%3 3-02.3%3-14.6%3-24.5%3-33.0%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.2%4+-23.2%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 40.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 53.7% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.0%

A 40% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.9%

#2 1–2 7.8%

#3 2–1 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Konigsdorf1.9

Fortuna Koln B2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 53.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KONIGSDORF · PPG 1.77

FORTUNA KOLN B · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.77), Away GOOD (1.69)

Win probability 1X2

Konigsdorf (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fortuna Koln B (A) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Konigsdorf face Fortuna Koln B in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Konigsdorf a 36% chance, the draw 24% and Fortuna Koln B 40%, so Fortuna Koln B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Konigsdorf and 2.0 for Fortuna Koln B (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Konigsdorf are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.69 for Fortuna Koln B. This match finished 3-2.

Konigsdorf vs Fortuna Koln B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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