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Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Norra Götaland - 8 Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:00
Stenungsund logo Stenungsund PPG 2.33
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Motala logo Motala PPG 1.00
Home· -0.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.9%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -0.4%
Draw 26.0%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -5.4%
Away 37.1%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -16.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.57 -7.2%
Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: 2.40 -19.8%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.45 -13.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Stenungsund
1.48
Motala
1.43

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 27%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=36.9%

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