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The Bees vs Gomora United FC Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

The Bees

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

UPCOMING

Gomora United FC

PPG 0.97 · AWAY

LAST 5

DW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-18.7%0-23.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.9%1-112.5%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.0%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.8%3-14.3%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 45.5% 2.20 -1.0%

Draw 27.3% 33.3% 3.00 -10.9%

Away win 27.7% 32.3% 3.10 -8.5%

Over 2.5 45.0% 42.0% 2.38 +7.1%

Over 3.5 26.1% 21.5% 4.65 +12.8%

BTTS 49.9% 49.0% 2.04 +1.8%

Home O1.5 39.9% 36.0% 2.78 +10.9%

Away O1.5 25.9% 29.9% 3.34 -8.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.9%

H 45% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 13.9%

#3 0–0 9.6%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

The Bees1.4

Gomora United FC0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.0% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

THE BEES · PPG 1.45

GOMORA UNITED FC · PPG 0.97

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

50%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

The Bees (H) 45.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -1.0%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.9%

Gomora United FC (A) 27.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

The Bees face Gomora United FC in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives The Bees a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Gomora United FC 28%, so The Bees are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for The Bees and 0.9 for Gomora United FC (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, The Bees are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.97 for Gomora United FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.8%.

The Bees vs Gomora United FC Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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