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Gomora United FC vs Venda FC Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Friday, August 28, 2026, 13:00

Gomora United FC

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

DW ···

UPCOMING

Venda FC

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

DL ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-19.6%0-23.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.3%1-112.6%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-18.3%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.7%3-13.6%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 38.5% 2.60 +18.3%

Draw 31.2% 40.0% 2.50 -22.0%

Away win 23.3% 34.7% 2.88 -19.7%

Over 2.5 39.8% 38.2% 2.62 +4.3%

Over 3.5 20.7% 20.2% 4.95 +1.5%

BTTS 47.2% 47.6% 2.10 -0.9%

Home O1.5 37.2% 32.9% 3.04 +13.1%

Away O1.5 22.8% 30.5% 3.28 -15.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 24.2%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 16.3%

#3 0–0 12.4%

#4 2–0 10.7%

#5 0–1 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gomora United FC1.3

Venda FC0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GOMORA UNITED FC · PPG 1.52

VENDA FC · PPG 1.13

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gomora United FC (H) 45.5%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +18.3%

Draw 31.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -22.0%

Venda FC (A) 23.3%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -19.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gomora United FC face Venda FC in South-Africa - 1st Division on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gomora United FC a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Venda FC 23%, so Gomora United FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Gomora United FC and 0.8 for Venda FC (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gomora United FC are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.13 for Venda FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +21.5%.

Gomora United FC vs Venda FC Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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