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Wegberg-Beeck vs SSV Merten Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 27 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:00

Wegberg-Beeck

PPG 1.92 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

SSV Merten

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away GOOD (1.54)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-17.5%0-25.7%0-32.9%0-4+1.5%1 1-07.3%1-111.2%1-28.5%1-34.3%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.3%2-26.3%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.7%3-14.1%3-23.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 35.5% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 4.9%

#5 2–2✓ 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wegberg-Beeck1.5

SSV Merten1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WEGBERG-BEECK · PPG 1.92

SSV MERTEN · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away GOOD (1.54)

Win probability 1X2

Wegberg-Beeck (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SSV Merten (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wegberg-Beeck face SSV Merten in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wegberg-Beeck a 37% chance, the draw 26% and SSV Merten 37%, so SSV Merten are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Wegberg-Beeck and 1.5 for SSV Merten (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wegberg-Beeck are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.54 for SSV Merten. This match finished 2-2.

Wegberg-Beeck vs SSV Merten Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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