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Negeri Sembilan vs Imigresen Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 08:45

Negeri Sembilan

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

UPCOMING

Imigresen

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 63% chance

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.0%0-23.4%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.0%1-19.7%1-26.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-19.4%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.5%3-16.1%3-24.2%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-14.7%4+-23.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% 55.6% 1.80 -7.1%

Draw 23.4% 30.3% 3.30 -13.7%

Away win 25.0% 27.8% 3.60 -6.0%

Over 2.5 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Over 3.5 37.4% 42.0% 2.38 -11.0%

BTTS 58.9% 65.4% 1.53 -9.9%

Home O1.5 55.8% 60.6% 1.65 -7.9%

Away O1.5 42.2% 40.2% 2.49 +5.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.9%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 6.9%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Negeri Sembilan1.9

Imigresen1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

NEGERI SEMBILAN · PPG 1.50

IMIGRESEN · PPG 1.29

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

63%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Negeri Sembilan (H) 51.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -7.1%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -13.7%

Imigresen (A) 25.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Negeri Sembilan face Imigresen in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Negeri Sembilan a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Imigresen 25%, so Negeri Sembilan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Negeri Sembilan and 1.4 for Imigresen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Negeri Sembilan are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.29 for Imigresen. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +14.3%.

Negeri Sembilan vs Imigresen Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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