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Lithuania - A Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - A Lyga Regular Season - 14 FK TransINVEST stadium· Sirvintos Sunday, May 17, 2026 11:15
TransINVEST logo TransINVEST PPG 1.50
1-0 HIT CS3
Zalgiris logo Zalgiris PPG 1.50
Home· +13.3% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.3%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +13.3%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.5%
Away 26.5%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -20.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.4% Odds: 1.80 -16.5%
Over 3.5 20.0% Odds: 2.75 -27.0%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.62 -16.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

TransINVEST
1.27
Zalgiris
1.02

Model Suggestion

BTTS -16.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 44%
Score Hit 31%
ROI -56.0%
Bet Hit 20% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.50)

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