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Latvia - 1. Liga logo Latvia flag Latvia - 1. Liga Regular Season - 8 Sunday, May 17, 2026 10:00
Riga FC B logo Riga FC B PPG 2.00
0-4 MISS
Marupe logo Marupe PPG 1.75
Away· +4.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.7%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -19.8%
Draw 23.6%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -9.0%
Away 53.7%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +4.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.9% Odds: 1.53 -5.3%
Over 3.5 43.3% Odds: 2.25 -2.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.44 -14.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Riga FC B
1.22
Marupe
2.14

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.75)

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