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Bahia W vs Internacional W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 19:00

Bahia W

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Internacional W

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.2%0-116.4%0-210.2%0-34.2%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.3%1-112.8%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.0%2-15.0%2-23.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.1%3-11.3%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.3% 40.0% 2.50 -20.5%

Draw 30.1% 31.3% 3.20 -3.7%

Away win 43.6% 38.5% 2.60 +13.4%

Over 2.5 46.2% 54.6% 1.83 -15.4%

Over 3.5 14.7% 32.3% 3.10 -32.7%

BTTS 48.6% 61.7% 1.62 -21.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.6%

A 44% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.2%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 0–1 16.4%

#4 0–2 10.2%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bahia W0.8

Internacional W1.2

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BAHIA W · PPG 1.67

INTERNACIONAL W · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs Home GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Bahia W (H) 26.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -20.5%

Draw 30.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.7%

Internacional W (A) 43.6%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +13.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bahia W face Internacional W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bahia W a 26% chance, the draw 30% and Internacional W 44%, so Internacional W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Bahia W and 1.2 for Internacional W (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bahia W are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.60 for Internacional W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.4%. This match finished 3-0.

Bahia W vs Internacional W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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