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Latvia - 1. Liga Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:00 
Metta PPG 2.25 
Alberts JDFS PPG 1.00
Latvia - 1. Liga Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:00 Metta PPG 2.254-1 MISS
Alberts JDFS PPG 1.00Over3.5· +12.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.44 -8.0%
Over 3.5 54.3% Odds: 2.08 +12.9%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.48 -23.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 4-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Metta 3.19
Alberts JDFS 0.69
Model Suggestion
Home +6.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+12.9%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+12.9%)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 98%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus