Venda FC vs The Bees Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

South-Africa - 1st Division Regular Season - 25 Thohoyandou Stadium· Thohoyandou Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:00

Venda FC PPG 1.18

2-0 HIT CS5

The Bees PPG 0.45

Home· +5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Venda FC face The Bees in South-Africa - 1st Division on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Venda FC a 45% chance, the draw 31% and The Bees 25%, so Venda FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Venda FC and 0.8 for The Bees (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Venda FC are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 0.45 for The Bees. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.9%

Odds: 2.34 EV: +5.1%

Draw 30.5%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -8.5%

Away 24.7%

Odds: 3.04 EV: -24.9%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 13.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 37.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Venda FC

1.17

The Bees

0.79

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 24.2%

Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.18) > Away POOR (0.45)