Milford PPG 2.17
Upington City PPG 0.91Milford face Upington City in South-Africa - 1st Division on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milford a 65% chance, the draw 23% and Upington City 12%, so Milford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Milford and 0.6 for Upington City (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milford are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.91 for Upington City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.6%. This match finished 3-1.
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs P(Home)=64.9%