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Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 8 Sodertalje Fotbollsarena Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:00
Syrianska logo Syrianska PPG 1.00
2-2 HIT CS3
Nacka Iliria logo Nacka Iliria PPG 0.00
Over3.5· +5.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.5%
Odds: 2.16 EV: -1.7%
Draw 22.8%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -12.8%
Away 31.7%
Odds: 2.63 EV: -16.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.36 -13.1%
Over 3.5 54.3% Odds: 1.95 +5.9%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Syrianska
2.11
Nacka Iliria
1.78

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-13.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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