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Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Södra Svealand - 8
Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Saturday, May 16, 2026
13:00
Syrianska
PPG 1.00
2-2
HIT CS3
Nacka Iliria
PPG 0.00
Over3.5· +5.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
45.5%
Odds: 2.16
EV: -1.7%
Draw
22.8%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -12.8%
Away
31.7%
Odds: 2.63
EV: -16.6%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
63.9%
Odds: 1.36
-13.1%
Over 3.5
54.3%
Odds: 1.95
+5.9%
BTTS
63.0%
Odds: —
—
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
2-2
✔
4th
1-2
✘
5th
3-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Syrianska
2.11
Nacka Iliria
1.78
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-13.1%
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded — EV is negative (-13.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL
No PPG data