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Latvia - 1. Liga logo Latvia flag Latvia - 1. Liga Regular Season - 8 Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:00
Riga Mariners logo Riga Mariners PPG 1.67
3-1 MISS
Valmiera logo Valmiera PPG 3.00
Draw· -2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.6%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -13.7%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -2.8%
Away 46.3%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -5.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.44 -11.6%
Over 3.5 41.2% Odds: 2.10 -13.5%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.42 -15.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Riga Mariners
1.28
Valmiera
1.99

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home GOOD (1.67)

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