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Latvia - 1. Liga
Regular Season - 8
Saturday, May 16, 2026
13:00
Riga Mariners
PPG 1.67
3-1
MISS
Valmiera
PPG 3.00
Draw· -2.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
28.6%
Odds: 2.70
EV: -13.7%
Draw
25.1%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -2.8%
Away
46.3%
Odds: 2.05
EV: -5.1%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
61.4%
Odds: 1.44
-11.6%
Over 3.5
41.2%
Odds: 2.10
-13.5%
BTTS
59.7%
Odds: 1.42
-15.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
0-2
✘
4th
1-3
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Riga Mariners
1.28
Valmiera
1.99
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-11.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home GOOD (1.67)