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Hunfelder SV vs Giessen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

Hunfelder SV

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Giessen

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.6%0-22.6%0-31.8%0-4+1.5%1 1-03.0%1-16.0%1-26.1%1-34.2%1-4+3.4%2 2-03.4%2-17.0%2-27.2%2-34.9%2-4+3.9%3 3-02.7%3-15.4%3-25.5%3-33.8%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-15.5%4+-25.6%4+-33.8%4+-4+3.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 34.0% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 63.4% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob66.7%

H 45% / xG 2.3-2.0 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.2%

#2 2–1 7.0%

#3 1–1 6.0%

#4 1–2 6.1%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hunfelder SV2.3

Giessen2.0

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HUNFELDER SV · PPG 1.33

GIESSEN · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Hunfelder SV (H) 44.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Giessen (A) 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hunfelder SV face Giessen in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hunfelder SV a 45% chance, the draw 21% and Giessen 34%, so Hunfelder SV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Hunfelder SV and 2.0 for Giessen (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hunfelder SV are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.31 for Giessen. This match finished 1-4.

Hunfelder SV vs Giessen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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