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Hummetroth vs CSC 03 Kassel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Hummetroth

PPG 1.64 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

CSC 03 Kassel

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.7%0-21.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-02.7%1-14.9%1-24.4%1-32.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-03.9%2-17.0%2-26.3%2-33.8%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.7%3-16.7%3-26.0%3-33.6%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-19.6%4+-28.6%4+-35.1%4+-4+3.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.8% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 73.3% — — —

Over 3.5 68.2% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob66.7%

H 53% / xG 2.9-1.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.0%

#2 3–1 6.7%

#3 2–2 6.3%

#4 3–2 6.0%

#5 1–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hummetroth2.9

CSC 03 Kassel1.8

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 68.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HUMMETROTH · PPG 1.64

CSC 03 KASSEL · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Hummetroth (H) 52.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

CSC 03 Kassel (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hummetroth face CSC 03 Kassel in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hummetroth a 53% chance, the draw 22% and CSC 03 Kassel 25%, so Hummetroth are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Hummetroth and 1.8 for CSC 03 Kassel (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hummetroth are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.27 for CSC 03 Kassel. This match finished 2-4.

Hummetroth vs CSC 03 Kassel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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