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Hanau vs Darmstadt B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

Hanau

PPG 0.73 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Darmstadt B

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-14.7%0-25.9%0-34.9%0-4+5.5%1 1-02.8%1-17.0%1-28.7%1-37.2%1-4+8.1%2 2-02.1%2-15.1%2-26.4%2-35.3%2-4+5.9%3 3-01.0%3-12.5%3-23.1%3-32.6%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.3%4+-21.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.0% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 54.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 55.8% — — —

BTTS 62.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob62.9%

A 55% / xG 1.5-2.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.7%

#2 1–1 7.0%

#3 1–3 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 0–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hanau1.5

Darmstadt B2.5

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HANAU · PPG 0.73

DARMSTADT B · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.73) vs Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Hanau (H) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Darmstadt B (A) 54.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hanau face Darmstadt B in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hanau a 23% chance, the draw 23% and Darmstadt B 55%, so Darmstadt B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hanau and 2.5 for Darmstadt B (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hanau are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 1.13 for Darmstadt B. This match finished 1-5.

Hanau vs Darmstadt B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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