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Fernwald vs RW Walldorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

Fernwald

PPG 1.47 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

RW Walldorf

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.9%0-22.1%0-31.6%0-4+1.5%1 1-02.2%1-14.8%1-25.4%1-34.0%1-4+3.8%2 2-02.7%2-16.1%2-26.8%2-35.1%2-4+4.8%3 3-02.3%3-15.1%3-25.7%3-34.3%3-4+4.0%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-15.9%4+-26.6%4+-34.9%4+-4+4.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 34.0% — — —

Over 2.5 75.6% — — —

Over 3.5 70.0% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob66.7%

H 45% / xG 2.5-2.2 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 2–1 6.1%

#3 3–2 5.7%

#4 1–1✓ 4.8%

#5 1–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fernwald2.5

RW Walldorf2.2

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.6% · O3.5 PROB 70.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FERNWALD · PPG 1.47

RW WALLDORF · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Fernwald (H) 44.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

RW Walldorf (A) 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fernwald face RW Walldorf in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fernwald a 45% chance, the draw 21% and RW Walldorf 34%, so Fernwald are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Fernwald and 2.2 for RW Walldorf (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fernwald are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.20 for RW Walldorf. This match finished 1-1.

Fernwald vs RW Walldorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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