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Tottenham Hotspur W vs West Ham W Prediction— England - FA WSL

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 11:00

Tottenham Hotspur W

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

West Ham W

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 60% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.9%0-24.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.3%1-111.2%1-27.6%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-19.1%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.7%3-14.9%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.9%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 66.7% 1.50 -31.9%

Draw 24.5% 25.6% 3.90 -2.7%

Away win 30.1% 18.2% 5.50 +65.5%

Over 2.5 59.6% 59.9% 1.67 -0.5%

Over 3.5 36.4% 38.2% 2.62 -4.6%

BTTS 61.5% 58.8% 1.70 +4.5%

Home O1.5 48.1% 65.4% 1.53 -26.4%

Away O1.5 42.2% 25.0% 4.00 +68.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.5%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tottenham Hotspur W1.6

West Ham W1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR W · PPG 1.71

WEST HAM W · PPG 1.06

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tottenham Hotspur W (H) 45.4%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -31.9%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -2.7%

West Ham W (A) 30.1%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +65.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur W face West Ham W in England - FA WSL on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tottenham Hotspur W a 45% chance, the draw 25% and West Ham W 30%, so Tottenham Hotspur W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Tottenham Hotspur W and 1.3 for West Ham W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tottenham Hotspur W are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.06 for West Ham W. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +68.8%.

Tottenham Hotspur W vs West Ham W Prediction— England - FA WSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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