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Crystal Palace W vs Everton W Prediction— England - FA WSL

Matchday 1 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

Crystal Palace W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Everton W

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 60% chance

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.9%0-24.7%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.2%1-111.2%1-27.6%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.0%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.6%3-14.9%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.8%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 28.6% 3.50 +58.9%

Draw 24.5% 28.6% 3.50 -8.6%

Away win 30.1% 54.1% 1.85 -44.3%

Over 2.5 59.6% 57.1% 1.75 +4.3%

Over 3.5 36.4% 36.4% 2.75 +0.1%

BTTS 61.5% 58.8% 1.70 +4.5%

Home O1.5 48.1% 33.3% 3.00 +44.3%

Away O1.5 42.2% 54.6% 1.83 -22.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.5%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 1–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Crystal Palace W1.6

Everton W1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CRYSTAL PALACE W · PPG 1.50

EVERTON W · PPG 1.35

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Crystal Palace W (H) 45.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +58.9%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.6%

Everton W (A) 30.1%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -44.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Crystal Palace W face Everton W in England - FA WSL on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Crystal Palace W a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Everton W 30%, so Crystal Palace W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Crystal Palace W and 1.4 for Everton W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Crystal Palace W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.35 for Everton W. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +45.0%.

Crystal Palace W vs Everton W Prediction— England - FA WSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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