Haninge vs Karlslund Prediction & Tips

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Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 8 Torvalla idrottsplats· Haninge Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:00

Haninge PPG 1.33

1-0 MISS

Karlslund PPG 1.00

Away· +9.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.4%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -23.1%

Draw 23.3%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +7.1%

Away 23.3%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +9.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.25 -20.1%

Over 3.5 48.3% Odds: 1.70 -17.9%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.36 -18.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Haninge

2.33

Karlslund

1.26

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -20.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -20.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 30.0%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)