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Lithuania - 1 Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 10 Dirbtines Dangos Stadionas Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:00
Tauras logo Tauras PPG 2.25
2-0 HIT CS3
Jonava logo Jonava PPG 1.00
Away· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 1.70 EV: -12.6%
Draw 24.4%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -8.8%
Away 24.2%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -0.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.65 -2.5%
Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: 2.80 -6.5%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.73 -5.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Tauras
1.80
Jonava
1.11

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=51.4%

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