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Lithuania - 1 Lyga
Regular Season - 10
Dirbtines Dangos Stadionas
Saturday, May 16, 2026
11:00
Tauras
PPG 2.25
2-0
HIT CS3
Jonava
PPG 1.00
Away· -0.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.4%
Odds: 1.70
EV: -12.6%
Draw
24.4%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -8.8%
Away
24.2%
Odds: 4.10
EV: -0.5%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.1%
Odds: 1.65
-2.5%
Over 3.5
33.4%
Odds: 2.80
-6.5%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.73
-5.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✔
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Tauras
1.80
Jonava
1.11
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-2.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=51.4%