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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 13 Saturday, May 16, 2026 08:15
M. Srbija logo M. Srbija PPG 1.80
2-1 HIT CS2
Brunswick City logo Brunswick City PPG 1.00
Away· -1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.4%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -21.3%
Draw 25.9%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -5.6%
Away 35.7%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -1.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.50 -9.8%
Over 3.5 41.5% Odds: 2.14 -11.2%
BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.44 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

M. Srbija
1.67
Brunswick City
1.61

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -9.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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