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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 10 TK Shutter Reserve· Adelaide Saturday, May 16, 2026 07:45
NE MetroStars logo NE MetroStars PPG 1.75
0-0 MISS
Adelaide Comets logo Adelaide Comets PPG 0.25
Over3.5· +29.5% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 74.4%
Odds: 1.20 EV: -10.7%
Draw 17.9%
Odds: 5.40 EV: -2.0%
Away 7.8%
Odds: 10.50 EV: -10.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.8% Odds: 1.33 +4.8%
Over 3.5 74.0% Odds: 1.75 +29.5%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.73 -9.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 5-0
4th 4-1
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

NE MetroStars
4.24
Adelaide Comets
0.79

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +4.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+29.5%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus

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