FK Beograd vs Campbelltown Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 10 Frank Mitchell Park Saturday, May 16, 2026 07:30

FK Beograd PPG 1.75

3-1 HIT CS5

Campbelltown PPG 1.40

Home· +14.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.8%

Odds: 2.25 EV: +14.3%

Draw 23.5%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -7.8%

Away 25.7%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -21.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.33 -15.8%

Over 3.5 57.0% Odds: 1.80 +2.6%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.33 -16.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

FK Beograd

2.26

Campbelltown

1.76

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -15.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-15.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -30.0%

Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)