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Inglewood Utd vs Quinns Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 07:00

Inglewood Utd logo
Inglewood Utd
PPG 1.00 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
Quinns logo
Quinns
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-116.7%0-210.8%0-34.7%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.7%1-112.6%1-28.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-03.7%2-14.8%2-23.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.9%3-11.2%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 24.5%
Draw 30.6%
Away win 44.9%
Over 2.5 43.9%
Over 3.5 15.2%
BTTS 48.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 2.1%
Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.1%

A 45% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.7%
#2 0–0 12.9%
#3 1–1 12.6%
#4 0–2 10.8%
#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inglewood Utd0.8
Quinns1.3

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.9% · O3.5 PROB 15.2%

Form & verdict PPG

INGLEWOOD UTD · PPG 1.00

QUINNS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Inglewood Utd (H) 24.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Quinns (A) 44.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inglewood Utd face Quinns in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inglewood Utd a 25% chance, the draw 31% and Quinns 45%, so Quinns are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Inglewood Utd and 1.3 for Quinns (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inglewood Utd are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Quinns. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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