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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 10 Kilburn Sportsplex· Adelaide Saturday, May 16, 2026 05:30
West Adelaide logo West Adelaide PPG 1.50
1-2 HIT CS2
West Torrens logo West Torrens PPG 1.75
Over3.5· +35.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +9.1%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -7.1%
Away 42.3%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -21.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.8% Odds: 1.40 +10.3%
Over 3.5 71.2% Odds: 1.90 +35.3%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.40 -6.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-3
4th 1-3
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

West Adelaide
2.21
West Torrens
2.63

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +10.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+35.3%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.75)

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