Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Manningham Utd vs Brunswick Juven

Manningham Utd vs Brunswick Juven Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 05:15

Manningham Utd

PPG 2.14 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Brunswick Juven

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-16.3%0-25.6%0-33.4%0-4+2.2%1 1-05.5%1-19.8%1-28.8%1-35.2%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.3%2-17.7%2-26.8%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.2%3-14.0%3-23.5%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.2%4+-21.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% 32.3% 3.10 +9.4%

Draw 24.9% 28.6% 3.50 -7.7%

Away win 39.8% 52.4% 1.91 -24.0%

Over 2.5 60.1% 69.4% 1.44 -13.5%

Over 3.5 42.8% 48.1% 2.08 -11.0%

BTTS 59.5% 71.4% 1.40 -16.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -15.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob59.5%

A 40% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manningham Utd1.6

Brunswick Juven1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MANNINGHAM UTD · PPG 2.14

BRUNSWICK JUVEN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.14), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Manningham Utd (H) 35.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +9.4%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -7.7%

Brunswick Juven (A) 39.8%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -24.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Manningham Utd face Brunswick Juven in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manningham Utd a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Brunswick Juven 40%, so Brunswick Juven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Manningham Utd and 1.8 for Brunswick Juven (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manningham Utd are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 2.00 for Brunswick Juven. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Manningham Utd vs Brunswick Juven Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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