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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 13 Saturday, May 16, 2026 05:00
North Sunshine logo North Sunshine PPG 0.75
3-2 HIT CS5
Western Utd B logo Western Utd B PPG 0.60
Over3.5· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.2%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -23.8%
Draw 23.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -6.2%
Away 35.2%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +5.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.8% Odds: 1.33 -8.5%
Over 3.5 61.7% Odds: 1.76 +8.6%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.30 -13.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-2
3rd 2-1
4th 1-2
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

North Sunshine
2.15
Western Utd B
2.12

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.60)

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