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Jastrzebie vs Rekord Bielsko Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Jastrzebie

PPG 0.27 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rekord Bielsko

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs Home POOR (0.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-111.7%0-211.6%0-37.7%0-4+6.0%1 1-05.0%1-19.9%1-29.8%1-36.5%1-4+5.1%2 2-02.1%2-14.2%2-24.2%2-32.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.2% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 61.5% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob51.6%

A 62% / xG 0.8-2.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.6%

#2 1–1 9.9%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jastrzebie0.8

Rekord Bielsko2.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JASTRZEBIE · PPG 0.27

REKORD BIELSKO · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs Home POOR (0.27)

Win probability 1X2

Jastrzebie (H) 14.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rekord Bielsko (A) 61.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jastrzebie face Rekord Bielsko in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jastrzebie a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Rekord Bielsko 62%, so Rekord Bielsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Jastrzebie and 2.0 for Rekord Bielsko (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jastrzebie are averaging 0.27 points per game versus 1.20 for Rekord Bielsko.

Jastrzebie vs Rekord Bielsko Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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