Today / Wil vs Vaduz

Wil vs Vaduz Prediction

Friday, May 15, 2026

Wil

PPG 1.18 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Vaduz

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home AVERAGE (1.18)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-110.6%0-29.6%0-35.8%0-4+3.9%1 1-06.0%1-110.9%1-29.9%1-35.9%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.1%2-15.6%2-25.1%2-33.1%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.1%3-11.9%3-21.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 51.2% — — —

Over 2.5 52.3% — — —

Over 3.5 31.7% — — —

BTTS 53.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob53.3%

A 51% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.6%

#4 0–1 10.6%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wil1.0

Vaduz1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WIL · PPG 1.18

VADUZ · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.82) vs Home AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

Wil (H) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vaduz (A) 51.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wil face Vaduz on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wil a 24% chance, the draw 25% and Vaduz 51%, so Vaduz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wil and 1.8 for Vaduz (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wil are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.82 for Vaduz. This match finished 1-3.

Wil vs Vaduz Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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