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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 13 Green Gully Reserve· Melbourne Friday, May 15, 2026 09:30
Green Gully logo Green Gully PPG 0.20
1-3 HIT CS5
Melbourne C. B logo Melbourne C. B PPG 1.83
Over3.5· +20.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 9.3%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -35.4%
Draw 21.9%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -8.1%
Away 68.8%
Odds: 1.62 EV: +11.5%
Model lean: Away
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.62 +2.5%
Over 3.5 48.2% Odds: 2.50 +20.5%
BTTS 48.1% Odds: 1.60 -23.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-3
2nd 0-2
3rd 0-4
4th 0-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Green Gully
0.56
Melbourne C. B
3.02

Model Suggestion

Away +11.5% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.5%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.83) vs Home POOR (0.20)

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