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Australia - Victoria NPL
Regular Season - 13
Friday, May 15, 2026
09:45
Dandenong City
PPG 1.33
1-1
HIT CS2
Oakleigh C.
PPG 2.20
Draw· +0.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
12.4%
Odds: 6.00
EV: -15.4%
Draw
24.0%
Odds: 4.20
EV: +0.5%
Away
63.5%
Odds: 1.44
EV: -8.6%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.7%
Odds: 1.55
-7.5%
Over 3.5
37.0%
Odds: 2.35
-13.1%
BTTS
52.6%
Odds: 1.65
-13.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-2
✘
2nd
1-1
✔
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
0-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Dandenong City
0.92
Oakleigh C.
2.15
Model Suggestion
Away
-8.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -8.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+0.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)