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Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

Yverdon Sport

PPG 1.74 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWDW

UPCOMING

Stade Nyonnais

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 71% chance

Model probability 65.9% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-14.0%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.2%1-18.7%1-23.4%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-19.6%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.0%3-17.0%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.3%4+-16.4%4+-22.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.2% 71.4% 1.40 -10.1%

Draw 20.7% 22.7% 4.40 -5.3%

Away win 15.0% 16.7% 6.00 -6.0%

Over 2.5 59.6% 69.4% 1.44 -14.2%

Over 3.5 36.4% 47.6% 2.10 -23.6%

BTTS 52.9% 63.7% 1.57 -17.0%

Home O1.5 65.9% 73.5% 1.36 -10.4%

Away O1.5 22.1% 29.4% 3.40 -14.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.9%

H 64% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%

#2 1–1 8.7%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yverdon Sport2.2

Stade Nyonnais0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

YVERDON SPORT · PPG 1.74

STADE NYONNAIS · PPG 0.53

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

71%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.42 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Yverdon Sport (H) 64.2%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -10.1%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -5.3%

Stade Nyonnais (A) 15.0%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV -6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Yverdon Sport face Stade Nyonnais in Switzerland - Challenge League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yverdon Sport a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Stade Nyonnais 15%, so Yverdon Sport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Yverdon Sport and 0.8 for Stade Nyonnais (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yverdon Sport are averaging 1.74 points per game versus 0.53 for Stade Nyonnais.

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Match Preview & Prediction

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