Today / Beerschot U21 vs Daring B. U21

Beerschot U21 vs Daring B. U21 Prediction

Friday, May 15, 2026

Beerschot U21
PPG 1.82 · HOME
7 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Daring B. U21
PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.9%0-23.6%0-33.0%0-4+3.3%1 1-02.3%1-15.7%1-27.0%1-35.8%1-4+6.6%2 2-02.2%2-15.6%2-27.0%2-35.8%2-4+6.5%3 3-01.5%3-13.7%3-24.6%3-33.8%3-4+4.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.9%4+-23.6%4+-33.0%4+-4+3.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.7%
Draw 23.0%
Away win 42.3%
Over 2.5 69.8%
Over 3.5 65.2%
BTTS 66.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 7-0
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob66.7%

A 42% / xG 2.0-2.5 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.0%
#2 2–2 7.0%
#3 1–1 5.7%
#4 1–3 5.8%
#5 2–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Beerschot U212.0
Daring B. U212.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BEERSCHOT U21 · PPG 1.82

DARING B. U21 · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.82), Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Beerschot U21 (H) 34.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Daring B. U21 (A) 42.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Beerschot U21 face Daring B. U21 on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beerschot U21 a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Daring B. U21 42%, so Daring B. U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Beerschot U21 and 2.5 for Daring B. U21 (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beerschot U21 are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.64 for Daring B. U21. This match finished 7-0.

PredictVantage

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