Today / IFK Skovde vs VIF

IFK Skovde vs VIF Prediction

Friday, May 15, 2026

IFK Skovde

PPG 2.00 · HOME

6 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

VIF

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-11.7%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.2%1-15.3%1-22.7%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.0%2-18.1%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.1%3-18.2%3-24.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-013.3%4+-113.4%4+-26.8%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.4% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 14.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 57.9% — — —

BTTS 58.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-2

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.6%

H 64% / xG 3.1-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.2%

#2 3–0 8.1%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 2–0 8.0%

#5 4–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IFK Skovde3.1

VIF1.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 57.9%

Form & verdict PPG

IFK SKOVDE · PPG 2.00

VIF · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

IFK Skovde (H) 64.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VIF (A) 14.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

IFK Skovde face VIF on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IFK Skovde a 64% chance, the draw 22% and VIF 14%, so IFK Skovde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for IFK Skovde and 1.0 for VIF (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IFK Skovde are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for VIF. This match finished 6-2.

IFK Skovde vs VIF Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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