Today / Quevilly Rouen vs Paris 13 A.

Quevilly Rouen vs Paris 13 A. Prediction

Friday, May 15, 2026

Quevilly Rouen
PPG 0.93 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
Paris 13 A.
PPG 0.73 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-112.3%0-25.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.3%1-113.4%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.3%2-17.3%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.0%3-12.6%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 39.3%
Draw 34.1%
Away win 26.6%
Over 2.5 35.2%
Over 3.5 13.6%
BTTS 48.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.1%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.1%
#2 1–1 13.4%
#3 1–0 15.3%
#4 0–1 12.3%
#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quevilly Rouen1.1
Paris 13 A.0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.2% · O3.5 PROB 13.6%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEVILLY ROUEN · PPG 0.93

PARIS 13 A. · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Quevilly Rouen (H) 39.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 34.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Paris 13 A. (A) 26.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Quevilly Rouen face Paris 13 A. on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quevilly Rouen a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Paris 13 A. 27%, so Quevilly Rouen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Quevilly Rouen and 0.9 for Paris 13 A. (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quevilly Rouen are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.73 for Paris 13 A.. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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