Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland / Husqvarna vs Tord

Husqvarna vs Tord Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland - 8 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 17:00

Husqvarna

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Tord

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 72.3% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.0%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.7%1-13.5%1-21.0%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.0%2-16.1%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.7%3-17.1%3-22.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-025.5%4+-115.4%4+-24.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.3% 78.1% 1.28 -7.5%

Draw 20.1% 20.0% 5.00 +0.3%

Away win 7.6% 12.1% 8.25 -22.4%

Over 2.5 63.3% 69.0% 1.45 -8.2%

Over 3.5 59.0% 46.5% 2.15 +26.9%

BTTS 49.7% 58.8% 1.70 -15.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -16.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.7%

H 72% / xG 3.5-0.6 / O2.5 63% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.7%

#2 4–0 10.3%

#3 2–0 10.0%

#4 5–0 7.3%

#5 3–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Husqvarna3.5

Tord0.6

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 59.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HUSQVARNA · PPG 3.00

TORD · PPG 0.67

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Husqvarna (H) 72.3%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -7.5%

Draw 20.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +0.3%

Tord (A) 7.6%

ODDS 8.25 · IMPLIED 12.1% EV -22.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Husqvarna face Tord in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Husqvarna a 72% chance, the draw 20% and Tord 8%, so Husqvarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Husqvarna and 0.6 for Tord (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Husqvarna are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Tord. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Husqvarna vs Tord Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Predictions