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Poland - Ekstraklasa Friday, May 15, 2026 16:00 
Zaglebie Lubin PPG 1.69 
Pogon Szczecin PPG 0.75
Poland - Ekstraklasa Friday, May 15, 2026 16:00 Zaglebie Lubin PPG 1.690-1 MISS
Pogon Szczecin PPG 0.75Home· +26.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.80 -5.9%
Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 3.00 -11.6%
BTTS 52.2% Odds: 1.65 -13.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaglebie Lubin 1.64
Pogon Szczecin 0.98
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 47 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -16.8%
Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=51.4%