Today / Riteriai vs Panevezys
Riteriai vs Panevezys Prediction
Friday, May 15, 2026
// Model verdict
Away
Away momentum: POOR form (0.86) vs Home POOR (0.33)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 62% / xG 0.7-1.7 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 20.5%
Form & verdict
RITERIAI · PPG 0.33
PANEVEZYS · PPG 0.86
Away momentum: POOR form (0.86) vs Home POOR (0.33)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Riteriai face Panevezys on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Riteriai a 13% chance, the draw 26% and Panevezys 62%, so Panevezys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Riteriai and 1.7 for Panevezys (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Riteriai are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.86 for Panevezys.